NatgasApp

Weather Pulse

Short, regular weather reads for the natural gas market.

Sunday Setup

Sunday Setup: still hot, but much less supportive

Bias: BearishModels agreement: Mixed

Change: EPS loses -9.0 TDD vs Friday, near-week cools, but the next two weeks stay well above normal

Midweek Update

Midweek Update: EPS takes the heat lead

Bias: BullishModels agreement: Strong

Change: PS overtakes GEFS on heat; late-July peak near 18.5 TDD; CFSv2 warmer into August

Sunday Setup

Sunday Setup: week-2 heat holds

Bias: Mildly bullishModels agreement: Mixed

Change: GEFS moves closer to EPS up front; week-2 heat still intact around Jul 26-29

Midweek Update

Midweek Update: EPS gives up heat

Bias: Moderately bearishModels agreement: Mixed

Change: EPS lost major TDD since Sunday, GEFS steadier but week-2 heat is less confirmed

Midweek Update

Midweek Update: warm, but not enough

Bias: NeutralModels agreement: Strong

Change: Weather stays above normal, but not strong enough to offset comfortable storage

Midweek Update

Midweek Update: July heat reloads

Bias: Mildly bullishModels agreement: Strong

Change: Hot Jul 1-4, brief moderation, then TDD rebuilds into mid-July

Midweek Update

Midweek Update: storage beats, EPS heat builds

Bias: MixedModels agreement: Mixed

Change: Storage +76B vs +67B exp - bearish, EPS rebuilds TDD into early July

Sunday Setup

Sunday Setup: small Sunday nudge

Bias: NeutralModels agreement: Strong

Change: Sunday 12Z runs add a little TDD vs Friday - same story, no drama

Sunday Setup

Quiet Saturday hold

Bias: NeutralModels agreement: Strong

Change: Models aligned, little change vs Friday - Total Degree Days hugging the 30-year mean